Tristan H. Cockcroft
Jun 25, 2025, 10:37 AM ET
No substance however attentive we are arsenic fantasy managers, determination volition ever beryllium players whose performances alert beneath our radar.
For example, implicit the past 5 weeks, 1 right-handed pitcher finds himself the No. 5 scorer astatine his presumption (with 119 phantasy points), up of universally rostered individuals who person been plentifulness productive successful their ain close during that clip span, specified arsenic Zack Wheeler, Max Fried and Logan Webb.
Yes, Ryan Pepiot of the Tampa Bay Rays has performed arsenic good precocious arsenic astir immoderate different pitcher successful the crippled too Cy Young Award favorites Tarik Skubal and Paul Skenes. Yet, dissimilar each of the different names we've mentioned truthful far, Pepiot finds himself disposable arsenic a escaped cause successful much than one-third of ESPN leagues. Beyond that being an casual happening to close if you're successful immoderate of those leagues, that percent hints astatine a large buy-in accidental via commercialized successful formats wherever Pepiot is rostered.
The Rays' determination to much homer-friendly George M. Steinbrenner Field, wherever its 117 Statcast HR origin (meaning it inflates homers by 17% compared to an mean park) this play unsocial is considerably greater than Tropicana Field's 98 origin implicit the erstwhile 3 years, could person helped lend to Pepiot's humble roster rate. As 1 of the league's much alert ball-oriented pitchers (a 28.6% complaint since the commencement of 2024 ranking arsenic the 31st-highest among 104 qualifiers), it's lone earthy that Pepiot mightiness person been perceived arsenic much of a "bust candidate" (especially successful location starts) than your mean pitcher.
But, conscionable arsenic helium did during his breakthrough 2024, Pepiot has made further adjustments this play that marque him an intriguing semipermanent people successful fantasy. Most notably, he's pouring much pitches into the onslaught portion than ever earlier and his 54.5% portion complaint is much than 5% greater than his 2024 number. In June alone, helium has upped his mean fastball velocity to 95.3 mph, his highest fig successful immoderate azygous MLB month. Pepiot has besides been overmuch much accordant with his determination this twelvemonth than last, walking 2 oregon less hitters successful each of his past 13 starts, aft walking 3 oregon much successful 16 of his archetypal 39 vocation big-league starts.
Best yet: Pepiot has thrown astatine slightest 96 pitches successful each of hls past 4 starts, contempt playing for the notoriously matchups-oriented Rays, and helium should beryllium overmuch much equipped to breeze past the 160 IP people for the play aft totaling lone 130 successful his archetypal afloat play successful the team's rotation. About the lone happening separating him, whether by cognition oregon existent rest-of-year value, from a likewise skilled, overmuch much heavy rostered righty successful Luis Castillo, is the innings total.
I spot top-25 phantasy starter's worth successful Pepiot the remainder of the mode -- and he's not the lone specified underappreciated starting pitcher phantasy managers tin prime up oregon effort to get astatine a discount rate. Let's instrumentality a look astatine a fewer much pitchers you should beryllium targeting for your teams.
Bryan Woo, Seattle Mariners: A longtime idiosyncratic favorite, Woo's perennial obstacle to superstardom has been injuries, but successful his defense, helium has present gone 11 months since his past travel to the IL -- and it has been 13 months since he's missed clip owed to any limb issue. Since his instrumentality from that astir caller absence, Woo ranks 11th successful phantasy points (402, crossed 29 starts), and helium ranks 4th during that aforesaid span with 11 outings worthy astatine slightest 20-plus points.
As seems the "Mariners way," his power is elite (an MLB-leading 3.3% locomotion complaint betwixt this and past season) and he's pouring his four-seam fastball successful astatine an elevated, career-high 95.5 mph. Woo mightiness beryllium regarded a top-10 phantasy starter -- possibly a Logan Webb benignant -- if not for his wounded history. But aren't all pitchers inherently wounded risks to immoderate degree? Woo is 91.5% rostered successful ESPN leagues, but should beryllium universally connected teams.
Jesus Luzardo, Philadelphia Phillies: Which is scaring phantasy managers disconnected more: the back-to-back disastrous (minus-20 oregon worse successful each) starts helium made connected May 31 and June 5, oregon an wounded past that includes 3 trips to the IL successful the past 3 seasons alone? Take retired Luzardo's two-start blip and he'd beryllium tied for 14th among starting pitchers successful phantasy points. While cherry-picking outings is usually an workout successful folly, different mode to exemplify this is to enactment that helium has made 10 starts of 15-plus phantasy points, which is tied for seventh-most successful the league.
Luzardo is throwing astir arsenic hard arsenic helium ever has astatine the MLB level (96.4 mph). He's besides getting top-shelf grades for the show of his sweeper and, successful fact, has a Statcast expected ERA that checks successful 0.60 little than his existent number. Oh, and he's a escaped cause successful astir one-quarter of ESPN leagues.
Will Warren, New York Yankees: One of the astir beneath-the-radar breakthroughs of 2025, Warren ranks 5th successful K/9 ratio (11.47) and 10th successful K-rate (29.7%) among pitchers who person made astatine slightest 10 starts. And, to exemplify the value of those strikeouts successful phantasy terms, lone 20 pitchers person much than his 10 outings with double-digit phantasy points.
Warren's four-seam fastball already grades arsenic 1 of baseball's very best and, if helium gains adjacent a small much bid of his high-spin sweeper, he'd rapidly soar into the apical 40 astatine his position. Perhaps phantasy managers should inactive attack his matchups with caution (which is wherefore he's inactive retired determination successful astir 75% of ESPN modular leagues), but he's a pitcher who should person overmuch much wide phantasy entreaty than that fig indicates.
Matthew Boyd, Chicago Cubs: Here's yet different pitcher who brings with him the wounded question, having totaled lone 202 2/3 MLB innings implicit the past 4 seasons owed to persistent elbow issues that yet led to a June 2023 Tommy John surgery. Still, Boyd has been remarkably effectual since his instrumentality to enactment precocious successful 2024. Across 23 starts betwixt this and past season, helium has a 2.80 ERA, a 1.14 WHIP and 13 outings worthy astatine slightest 13 phantasy points.
Boyd's four-seam fastball is averaging a career-high 93.1 mph, and he's getting amended than 30% whiff rates with some his changeup and slider. We'll spot however equipped helium is to marque it done the afloat 162-game docket aft going 5 years betwixt 100-IP campaigns, but the Cubs are doing a bully occupation of not asking an excessive magnitude from him. At the precise least, helium needs to beryllium rostered successful much than the 62.3% of leagues successful which helium is presently -- astatine slightest for arsenic agelong arsenic helium continues to transportation this well.