Russia's Ukraine war troop casualties near 1 million, study says

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June 4, 2025, 5:26 AM EDT

Russia volition apt surpass 1 cardinal casualties successful its war connected Ukraine this summer, according to 1 of the world’s starring deliberation tanks, reflecting the staggering quality toll of President Vladimir Putin’s assault connected his neighbor.

Around 250,000 of these Russian soldiers person died, the Washington-based Center for Strategic and International Studies said successful a study Tuesday.

Ukraine has besides suffered dense losses, with 400,000 casualties including betwixt 60,000 and 100,000 killed, it said.

Surpassing 1 cardinal radical killed and wounded would beryllium “a stunning and grizzly milestone” for Russia and showed “Putin’s blatant disregard for his soldiers,” according to CSIS. To enactment this fig successful humanities perspective, it is 5 times arsenic galore deaths arsenic each Russian and Soviet wars since World War II.

The fig is stark but astir tallies with erstwhile estimates fixed by Western quality agencies, which person said that astir 1,000 Russian troops are killed oregon injured each day.

Putin annexed Ukraine’s Crimea peninsula and began supporting pro-Russian separatists successful the eastbound of the state successful 2014. But the CSIS figures subordinate to the play starting with the Kremlin’s full-scale penetration of Ukraine successful Feb. 2022.

The Russian leader's justification for this blitzkrieg connected the Ukrainian superior of Kyiv saw him premix ahistorical fallacy — asserting Ukraine has ne'er been a existent autarkic state — with complaints that NATO enlargement had risked his country's borderline security.

However his vessel columns were pushed rapidly backmost successful a stunning defence by Ukraine. Since then, his forces person reverted to attritional trench warfare, attempting to deterioration down Ukraine by throwing guardant waves of troops successful what analysts telephone “meat grinder” tactics.

Russian Tanks Approach KyivA Russian subject convoy on a road northwest of Kyiv, Ukraine connected March 1, 2022.Maxar Technologies / AFP - Getty Images

As some broadside dug successful advancement has been achingly slow, with CSIS putting the complaint of Russian beforehand astatine astir 165 feet a day, and capturing lone 1,930 quadrate miles — 1% of Ukrainian territory — since Jan. 2024. That’s little than the famously pyrrhic Somme violative successful World War I, successful which British and French troops precocious 263 feet per day.

From the skies, Russian bombers and drones person launched astir nightly attacks connected Ukrainian civilians and infrastructure specified arsenic powerfulness grids. This continued overnight into Wednesday, with Russia launching 95 onslaught drones and sidesplitting astatine slightest 10 radical successful the past 24 hours, Ukraine's aerial unit said.

Ukraine has responded by targeting subject sites wrong Russia, including Sunday's singular operation dubbed "Spiderweb" which saw them occurrence much than 100 drones astatine aggregate aerial bases — 1 of them 4,000 miles from Ukraine — aft smuggling them successful the backmost of trucks.

Kyiv's quality agencies followed this up Tuesday by detonating underwater explosives connected 1 of the supports for the Crimean Bridge, a roadworthy and obstruction nexus built successful 2018 and utilized to transport subject supplies to the annexed peninsula.

Even so, Putin — arsenic good arsenic Russian and American lawmakers — person stated that they judge the Kremlin has the battlefield advantage. Russia whitethorn beryllium losing much troops and materiel, but it besides has a larger colonisation from which to draw, and greater subject manufacturing capacity.

President Volodymyr Zelensky said Ukraine was acceptable   for "any format" of negotiations to extremity  warfare  with Russia up  of talks successful  Istanbul connected  May 15, 2025, but said his adjacent  steps volition  beryllium   connected  who represents Russia astatine  the meeting. Portraits of Ukrainian soldiers astatine a memorial for the fallen successful Kyiv connected May 14.Roman Pilipey / AFP via Getty Images

On the flipside, immoderate experts judge that these Russian losses are unsustainable if the United States and different Western allies proceed to enactment Ukraine’s antiaircraft effort.

For Putin, “the warfare is specified a disaster, and the Russian subject has reached a constituent wherever from sometime this summer, its capableness is each downhill: little armor, little ammunition, little resources, little motivation,” Richard Dearlove, the erstwhile caput of Britain’s MI6 quality agency, told NBC News successful an April interview. “But Putin doesn’t person a reverse cogwheel connected his policy.”

Meanwhile, 2 rounds of American-brokered bid talks successful Istanbul amusement nary signs of advancement connected ending the war.

Russia is demanding thing little than Ukraine’s afloat surrender and aboriginal subservience; Kyiv says it wants a ceasefire but that specified an existential capitulation would beryllium a non-starter.

President Donald Trump has shifted from the avowedly pro-Ukraine stance of his predecessor, President Joe Biden.

He has offered a drawstring of concessions to Moscow portion demanding Kyiv marque sacrifices. At the aforesaid clip helium has called Putin “crazy” for continuing to weaponry Ukrainian civilians, and threatening to locomotion distant from the process.

Alexander Smith

Alexander Smith is simply a elder newsman for NBC News Digital based successful London.

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