Scheffler historic favorite ahead of U.S. Open

A precise beardown tract and an highly hard people can't halt bookmakers from making Scottie Scheffler a historical favourite for the 125th U.S. Open. His incredibly abbreviated likelihood besides aren't preventing bettors from backing him en masse.

Scheffler shows +275 likelihood to triumph the 2025 U.S. Open astatine Oakmont Country Club, according to ESPN BET odds. That makes him the largest favourite for immoderate men's play large since Tiger Woods was +225 oregon shorter for each large successful 2009, though helium would not triumph immoderate of those tournaments. Scheffler surpasses his ain idiosyncratic champion large likelihood of +325 going into the 2024 U.S. Open, wherever helium yet finished tied for 41st.

The abbreviated likelihood and checkered past for large favorites isn't scaring distant the betting public: ESPN BET reports implicit 50% of grip and a starring 22.6% of bets backing Scheffler to triumph astatine Oakmont.

"Scheffler's terms entering tourney week reflects his accordant performances, knack for showing up successful majors, and the outsized betting involvement that helium garners tourney aft tournament, nary substance however overmuch of a favourite helium is," ESPN BET VP of sportsbook strategy & maturation Adam Landeka said implicit email. "He's been the favourite for conscionable astir each tourney implicit the past fewer years, and arsenic he's continued to perform, it was lone a substance of clip until we saw a historically abbreviated enactment similar this."

In the sportsbook's yearlong U.S. Open market, Scheffler opened astatine +500 and continually shortened with his blistery play successful the archetypal fractional of 2025, coming down to +400 aft his PGA Championship triumph and +300 aft his triumph astatine the Memorial Tournament. Despite the dense support, Scheffler's precise abbreviated likelihood means he's not a unspeakable script for sportsbooks should helium seizure the 3rd limb of his vocation expansive slam.

"It's not that [the bettors] won't stake him, due to the fact that they volition stake him, it's conscionable that they're going to instrumentality a overmuch shorter terms and we won't usually person vulnerability connected that," DraftKings sportsbook manager Johnny Avello told ESPN. "I deliberation wherever the vulnerability whitethorn travel successful is wherever he's adjacent to the pb and it's in-game wagering, and astatine that constituent is erstwhile I've noticed there's been a piling up connected him [in the past]."

Aside from Scheffler, Bryson DeChambeau, who is the 2nd favourite connected ESPN BET's oddsboard astatine +750, is besides garnering meaningful nationalist enactment marketwide, taking upwards of 15% of the grip astatine respective large sportsbooks. The defending U.S. Open champion has seen his likelihood chopped astir wholly successful fractional from his opener astatine +1400.

Meanwhile, Rory McIlroy's likelihood person lengthened immensely amid his mediocre form: After winning The Masters successful April, the 36-year-old was +550 to triumph the U.S. Open, but fell to +1150 aft missing the chopped astatine the Canadian Open and is presently +1400, per ESPN BET odds.

"There's nary buzz, he's astir similar a sleeper astatine this point," Caesars Sportsbook pb play trader Anthony Salleroli told ESPN. "I thought for definite we would've had 3 azygous bullets coming into the U.S. Open if you asked maine astir the PGA Championship time, but Rory fell retired of that people and present radical can't get capable of 2 guys, Scheffler and DeChambeau."

The lone different golfers garnering immoderate benignant of attraction crossed the sportsbook marketplace are Jon Rahm (+1200), Ludvig Åberg (+2200), Collin Morikawa (+2500), Shane Lowry (+3300) and Harris English (+8000).

Bookmakers chalk up immoderate of the gravitation towards favorites connected the reported trouble of Oakmont, which produced winning scores of -4 and +5 the past 2 times the U.S. Open was staged there.

"A U.S. Open astatine Oakmont is 1 of the toughest tests these players volition face," BetMGM elder sports trader Matt Wall said successful a release. "BetMGM customers are leaning towards the proven prime successful the field."