ESPN staffJun 21, 2025, 10:00 AM ET
It each comes down to this -- Game 7. A caller NBA champion volition beryllium crowned Sunday arsenic the Indiana Pacers sojourn the Oklahoma City Thunder. Tipoff is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET astatine Paycom Center.
Indiana dominated Game 6 successful astonishing fashion, starring by 30 points aft 3 quarters en way to a 108-91 victory. Now things displacement backmost to OKC, wherever the Thunder person been astir unbeatable this postseason. What tin you expect successful Game 7?
Andre Snellings, Eric Moody and David Purdum connection plentifulness of tips connected bets and insight.
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Bets for NBA Finals Game 7
Pascal Siakam implicit 11.5 assists and rebounds (+105). He contributes crossed aggregate statistical categories, and with the title connected the line, I expect maximum effort from him and the Pacers, peculiarly with Tyrese Haliburton not astatine 100%. Siakam's cleared this enactment successful 3 of the six Finals games. More importantly, Siakam has averaged 6.2 imaginable assists and 12.2 rebound chances during the Finals, which positions him good to surpass this people successful Game 7. -- Moody
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander implicit 44.5 points, rebounds and assists (-120). It's been 9 years since NBA fans witnessed a Game 7 successful the Finals and lone 4 person occurred since 2000. There's a batch astatine involvement for regular-season MVP Gilgeous-Alexander, particularly with the Thunder entering the bid arsenic overwhelming favorites. SGA volition request a masterful show to springiness OKC a changeable astatine the rubric and to solidify his assertion to Finals MVP. While he's cleared this enactment successful conscionable 2 of the six games successful the series, SGA has gone implicit successful 8 of his past 11 games erstwhile playing astatine slightest 41 minutes, which he's apt to bash successful Game 7. -- Moody
Andrew Nembhard implicit 14.5 full points and assists (-120). While Haliburton was capable to play good Thursday, helium is inactive dealing with a calf strain and mightiness beryllium limited. Nembhard took connected a larger relation successful Game 6, notching a series-high 17 points with 4 assists (21 P+A), and I expect him to beryllium called upon again successful Game 7. Nembhard averaged 12.5 points and 5.0 assists (17.5 P+A) successful the archetypal 2 games of the series, some successful Oklahoma City, and the Pacers volition apt request him to astatine slightest lucifer those numbers successful Game 7. -- Snellings
Jalen Williams implicit 22.5 full points (-125). Williams was successful his scoring container going into Game 6, averaging 31.0 points with astatine slightest 26 successful each of the anterior 3 contests. He got disconnected to a beardown scoring commencement successful Game 6 with 16 points successful the archetypal fractional earlier the squad got blown retired successful the 3rd quarter. I look for Williams to bounce backmost successful Game 7, playing astatine home, and make different high-scoring effort. -- Snellings
Pascal Siakam implicit 20.5 full points (-110). Pascal is the lone steadfast All-Star caliber subordinate connected the Pacers, and successful a roadworthy Game 7 helium volition decidedly beryllium tasked with providing accordant scoring. Siakam has averaged 21.3 points successful the past 4 games of the series, with astatine slightest 20 points successful each of the 3 erstwhile contests earlier helium sat retired astir of the 4th 4th successful the Game 6 blowout. I expect him to proceed scoring astatine a precocious level successful the finale. -- Snellings
Line connected the move
The enactment connected Game 7 began shrinking Friday morning, dropping arsenic overmuch arsenic 2.5 points, with reports of crisp wealth connected the underdog Pacers showing up successful Las Vegas.
The Thunder opened arsenic 8.5-point favorites, but the bulk of sportsbooks trimmed the enactment to -7.5 astir 11 a.m. Friday. ESPN BET was an outlier and dropped its enactment to -6.5.
"Game 7 is the champion 2 words successful sports," said Adam Landeka, vice president of sportsbook strategy and maturation for ESPN BET. "We're expecting a choky crippled and moving lines successful accordance with a fig of factors. Haliburton's show answered immoderate important questions connected his health, and the Pacers and their seasoned leaders near nary uncertainty successful what continues to beryllium a competitory series."
Jeff Sherman, NBA oddsmaker for the SuperBook astatine Westgate Las Vegas, told ESPN that it took a crisp stake connected the Pacers -8, causing the publication to driblet the fig to 7.5.
Chris Andrews, longtime bookmaker for South Point successful Las Vegas, besides reported seeing crisp wealth connected the Pacers connected Friday that caused him to driblet his enactment to -7.
"Finally got immoderate wealth backmost [on the Thunder] astatine -7," Andrews told ESPN successful a substance message.
At 7.5, the enactment is the largest of immoderate of the 5 Game 7s successful NBA Finals since 1991, and the 4th largest successful immoderate Game 7 during that clip period, according to ESPN Research. -- Purdum
Projections and wounded reports
Basketball Power Index by ESPN Analytics. Injury aggregation by Rotowire.com. Odds by ESPN BET
Indiana Pacers astatine Oklahoma City Thunder
8 p.m. ET
Line: Pacers +6.5 (EVEN) | Thunder -6.5 (-120)
Money line: Pacers +215 | Thunder -265
Total: 214.5 (-105 O, -105 U)
Injury report:
Pacers: None reported
Thunder: None reported
News, notes and more
From ESPN Research
If the Thunder win, they volition articulation the 2008 Boston Celtics and 2013 Miami Heat to person won astatine slightest 2 Game 7s successful a play connected their mode to a championship.
The Pacers look to beryllium the archetypal No. 4 effect to triumph a title since seeding began successful 1984. Should they win, they volition beryllium the lowest-seeded champion since the No. 6 effect Houston Rockets won the NBA rubric successful 1995.
The Thunder person scored astatine slightest 110 points successful each 12 of their location games this season, astir successful NBA playoffs history.
The Pacers won 18 less regular-season games than the Thunder, and if they triumph Sunday, it volition interruption the grounds acceptable by the 2016 Cleveland Cavaliers for largest triumph differential upset successful Finals history.
The Thunder person a +247 constituent differential astatine location successful the postseason, which is connected gait to beryllium an NBA record. No squad successful postseason past has finished with a +200 constituent differential astatine home.
The Pacers person had 4 antithetic starring scorers this series, which ties the grounds for astir successful Finals history.