AC Milan are predicted to finish outside of the top four, more specifically in 6th place, in the 2025-26 season of Serie A. At least based on Opta’s simulations.
It has been a relatively strong mercato for Milan despite some heavy departures, replacing Tijjani Reijnders with Ardon Jashari and Malick Thiaw with Koni De Winter. Furthermore, experience has been added through Luka Modric, as well as potential with Samuele Ricci.
One of the main question marks is Pervis Estupinan, who has been brought in as Theo Hernandez’s replacement. Due to being a bit injury-prone, there is some worry among the fans and he didn’t look brilliant in pre-season either.
Milan the underdogs
In any case, Milan have a solid foundation and Max Allegri is to thank for that, restoring the positive atmosphere that is needed at a club like the Rossoneri. Despite this, Opta’s season prediction – based on their simulations – has the team finishing in 6th place.

The likes of Inter, Napoli, Atalanta, Roma and Juventus are all expected to finish ahead of Milan, in that order as well, meaning the Nerazzurri would lift the Scudetto. Furthermore, Opta states that the Rossoneri only have a 38.1% chance of finishing in the top four.
Of course, these simulations have to be taken with a pinch of salt, especially since Allegri is expected to focus more on team effort than individual brilliance per se.